Prisco's Week 5 NFL picks: 49ers beat Cowboys, Steelers beat Ravens as home favorites, and Dolphins beat Giants

You can't really get a solid sense of NFL clubs until the first month of the season is over.That means it's time for me to get started with these picks. Week 4 was a letdown. I had a 10-6 straight-up record but a 6-9-1 ATS record.

The season records are currently 39-25-0 against the spread and 29-33-2 straight up. The second figure has to be higher. It certainly will.

This is not a pretty game to see on a Thursday night. However, both teams performed admirably in losses last week, which represents growth for the Bears. Against the Eagles

 the Commanders got Sam Howell back on track. Because this is a terrible Bears defense, it will continue. Justin Fields will be limited by the Washington defense. Commanders accept it. 

I just make straight-up and against-the-spread predictions, but the Sportsline Projection Model extensively analyses each game's totals. Find out which side to bet on right now.

This is a critical early-season game in a division where everyone has the same 2-2 record. The Titans' defense played well in their win over the Bengals last week. That will apply here as well. 

The Titans will contain Anthony Richardson and the Colts, while Derrick Henry has a productive day. Titans get it. 

Both of these teams are coming off losses in which their offenses were atrocious. Mac Jones is laboring for the Patriots, while Derek Carr appeared to be injured last week. The defenses will dominate this game. Give me the Patriots at home, even with

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